Conf = LEC
Nickname = CT Colonials Coach = Ryan CavanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.2212753 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 8, 91.0) 9-10 224 N Arcadia MAC-Freedom (10- 6, 88.3) 12- 5 302 A Merchant Marine Skyline ( 9- 4, 85.4) 17-12 306 H Sage Empire 8 ( 5-10, 80.5) 19- 4 309 H Misericordia MAC-Freedom ( 7- 8, 85.1) 17-11 313 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 6, 93.6) 8-13 320 H Farmingdale State Skyline (14- 2, 86.9) 12- 9 322 A Plymouth State LEC (12- 4, 85.9) 9-10 326 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 4- 9, 91.2) 8-14 330 H Castleton LEC ( 3-13, 75.1) 17- 5 409 A Massachusetts-Boston LEC (13- 4, 87.2) 18-13 413 H Massachusetts Maritime LEC ( 8- 7, 84.7) 8- 7 417 H Eastern Connecticut LEC ( 6-10, 81.4) 20- 6 420 A Salem State LEC ( 4-11, 70.1) 25- 9 423 A Keene State LEC ( 5- 8, 86.6) 13-12 426 H Southern Maine LEC ( 5-12, 76.5) 28- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Ursinus 9-10 -1 -2 1.25 224 N Arcadia 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.01 302 A Merchant Marine 17-12 5 3 1.60 306 H Sage 19- 4 15 9 0.00 309 H Misericordia 17-11 6 4 1.37 313 H Trinity 8-13 -5 -3 -1.16 320 H Farmingdale State 12- 9 3 2 0.20 322 A Plymouth State 9-10 -1 2 - -3.93 326 A Connecticut College 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.54 330 H Castleton 17- 5 12 14 0.00 409 A Massachusetts-Boston 18-13 5 1 + 3.47 413 H Massachusetts Maritime 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.05 417 H Eastern Connecticut 20- 6 14 8 0.00 420 A Salem State 25- 9 16 18 0.00 423 A Keene State 13-12 1 2 -1.14 426 H Southern Maine 28- 7 21 13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Massachusetts Maritime 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.05 322 A Plymouth State 9-10 -1 2 - -3.93 326 A Connecticut College 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.54OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 N Arcadia 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.01 409 A Massachusetts-Boston 18-13 5 1 + 3.47
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.25 Power Rank................. 59 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 65.95 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 94 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5938 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 87 RPI Rating............... .5668 RPI Rank................... 61 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 230 Selection sum ........... 199 Selection Rank ............ 60 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 48 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 51 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 12.7